Kirill Shamiev

Dr. Kirill Shamiev, a policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, delves into the Kremlin's internal dynamics amidst the ongoing war in Ukraine. He highlights a growing skepticism among Russian elites about Putin's decisions and the increasing economic anxieties they face. The discussion covers the strain on civil-military relations and the uncertainties surrounding the regime's future. Kirill suggests a likely scenario of a 'semi-frozen conflict,' emphasizing that significant changes in leadership are improbable without a major state collapse.