Jeff Alstott, an expert at the National Science Foundation and director of the Center for Technology and Security Policy at RAND, dives deep into technology forecasting. He critiques traditional methods and emphasizes the need for strategic foresight and robust data to enhance predictions. Alstott discusses the challenges of data accessibility and the impact of historical contexts on future advancements. He also shares insights on the role of AI in shaping national security and the importance of collaborative initiatives in technology assessment.