James Crabtree

In this engaging discussion, James Crabtree, an experienced analyst and former director at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, unpacks the shifting U.S. stance on Taiwan amid rising Chinese aggression. He reveals why the Trump administration appears more focused on negotiating with China than supporting Taiwan. Key topics include Taiwan's growing defense anxieties, the evolving military dynamics in the region, and the potential ramifications for U.S. alliances with South Korea, Japan, and India.

James Crabtree, a distinguished fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, dives into the shifting alliances in Asia under Trump’s erratic policies. He explores how China's economic downturn is met with growing confidence, while regional leaders grapple with waning U.S. security guarantees. Taiwan's uncertain standing, Vietnam's balancing act with tariffs, and India's pivot toward Europe highlight the complex geopolitical landscape. The discussion paints a vivid picture of a dynamic yet precarious Asian power narrative.

Janka Oertel, head of ECFR’s Asia programme, James Crabtree, a distinguished fellow with expertise in Asia, and Rudra Chowdhury, director at Carnegie India, discuss Europe's strategic shift towards Asia amidst the unpredictable Trump administration. They explore Europe's evolving ties with India, Japan, and South Korea, highlighting the need for strategic autonomy. The panel also examines India's warm view of Trump and its potential role as a bridge in global diplomacy, while considering the complex dynamics with China and the implications for European capitals.