Dean Curnutt

Dean Curnutt, founder of Macro Risk Advisors, discusses the nature of risk in markets, touching on various crises, reflexivity, risk recycling, and the evolving role of the Fed. They explore the 1987 stock market crash, Long-Term Capital Management, the 2008 Financial Crisis, the XIV implosion of 2018, and the 2020 COVID crisis. This episode is a must-listen for risk-focused individuals and those interested in market dynamics.

Dean Curnutt, CEO and founder of Macro Risk Advisors, provides sharp insights into today's market landscape filled with volatility. He discusses how traders are strategically navigating uncertainty ahead of the Fed's critical interest rate decision. Curnutt also highlights the implications of geopolitical tensions, particularly Turkey's political crackdown affecting the economy and investor sentiment. His thoughts on risk management strategies offer valuable perspectives for those looking to safeguard their investments in these turbulent times.

Dean Curnutt, founder and CEO of Macro Risk Advisors, discusses the bear market in volatility and worrisome positive correlation between stocks and bonds. He explores the impact of stock-bond correlation on investors and observations in the bond market. Curnutt also talks about Bitcoin as a hedge, VIX as a measure of implied volatility, and market predictions. He delves into the impact of Federal Reserve cuts, debt duration, and historical movements of the VIX. Curnutt explores option pricing, volatility risk premium, and unique market dynamics in 2022. Additionally, he discusses stock correlation and common options mistakes made by institutional investors.

Scott Clemons, a Bloomberg Surveillance Radio expert, and Dean Curnutt, a notable market strategist, dive into current market dynamics and economic signals. They discuss September's significance as a fresh financial year start, shining a light on small-cap stock performance. The conversation also highlights the correlation between major tech stocks and the S&P 500, tackling the historical context of stock correlations and questioning the reliability of traditional risk assessment methods like Value at Risk (VAR).

Reflecting on the nearly unmanageable unwind of Long Term Capital 25 years ago, the podcast explores the rise and fall of LTCM, the challenges faced by the Fed chairman and Treasury Secretary in 1998, and the trading strategy and risks of LTCM. It also delves into zero DTE options, selling Vega for long-term equity volatility, and the overconfidence of LTCM's team in their mathematical models.