Cem Karsan

Cem Karsan, an expert in volatility and market structure, discusses the deceptive calm in the markets, revealing the hidden complexities of a crowded hedge fund ecosystem. He dives into the unexpected spikes in the VIX due to call activity and the subtle pressures on monetary policy from political dynamics. Karsan also analyzes China's strategic resource diplomacy and the looming impact of AI on employment. The conversation emphasizes the necessity for cautious investment strategies amidst rising fragility and systemic risks, urging listeners to be aware of traps lurking below the surface.

Cem Karsan, Founder and CIO of Kai Volatility Advisors, known as @jam_croissant on Twitter, shares insights on navigating the volatile financial landscape of 2025. He discusses the potential for a market bubble fueled by interest rates and inflation. Exploring the effects of stagflation, he highlights the widening wealth gap and societal implications. Karsan emphasizes adaptable investment strategies, including the barbell approach and opportunities in gold and energy, while cautioning about market corrections and the importance of risk management.

Cem Karsan, Founder and CIO of Kai Volatility Advisors, is back with sharp insights on the stock market's wild swings. He predicts a potential 35-45% decline this year and discusses the factors influencing this volatility. Karsan emphasizes the need for risk management and innovative investment strategies, especially in today's inflationary climate. He critiques traditional asset allocation methods and highlights the importance of non-correlated assets in navigating turbulent markets. Additionally, he underscores the value of professional financial guidance for investors.

If you liked last week’s Global Macro conversation with Cem Karsan you are going to LOVE this epic Macro debate as he and Alfonso Peccatiello, aka MacroAlf, go head to head on the most pressing topics of our time. From inflation and interest rates to De-Dollarization, China, Geo-Politics, Oil, Gold, and more, these two brilliant macro thinkers challenge each other's perspectives in a thought-provoking and engaging conversation. Despite their differences, they also find some common ground. Don't miss this electrifying episode!-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Alfonso on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:37 - The big macro picture04:37 - Inflation from a historical perspective14:22 - Cycles and trends - how are they different?18:23 - A sticky situation21:53 - A wealth of trades?26:58 - A secular reality29:17 - The banking situation35:16 - A build-up effect38:58 - Buying Puts - A way to lose money?41:02 - Cyclical vs Secular effects46:38 - Inflationary pressure in Japan54:45 - De-Dollarization and changes on the global stage01:08:14 - The advantage of commodities01:13:41 - Where is the world heading?01:17:57 - Final thoughtsCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer

Cem Karsan, a market expert, dives deep into the lurking shifts shaping our economy. He examines the implications of stagflation and the liquidity drain that many overlook. Karsan discusses how elite universities are adapting their financial strategies and the significance of Warren Buffett’s exit in the investment arena. The conversation meanders through the political implications of economic decisions, the role of OPEC, and the responsibility of societies facing crises. Insightful storytelling connects generational narratives to current market dynamics.

Cem Karsan and Andy Constan, experts in options trading and market analysis, discuss the importance of understanding flows in market trading, risk management in options trading, the driving force behind bullishness, market sentiment shift and impact, market moves focusing on momentum vs. mean reversion, and the uncertainty and potential decline in the market.

Cem Karsan, a finance and global markets expert, joins the discussion to unpack today’s investment landscape. He highlights how increased volatility can present unique opportunities for savvy investors. Karsan emphasizes the role of geopolitical factors, particularly with the new U.S. administration, that could shift market dynamics. He also explores the historical impacts of populism on markets and suggests a keen eye on sectors like gold and cryptocurrencies as we navigate upcoming market fluctuations.

Cem Karsan, an expert in market outlook and global macro, shares insights on utilizing options for profit, global conflicts impact on the economy, possibilities of US rate cuts, and the impact of the US election on the economy. He discusses where he believes Equity markets will finish the year, navigating global macroeconomics, and the complex interplay of global macroeconomics, Federal Reserve policies, US politics, asset allocation strategies, market trends in relation to inflation and interest rates, and the impact of fiscal stimulus on wealth effects.

Global macro expert Cem Karsan and Alan Dunne delve into market volatility, options trading strategies, wealth effect, elections impact, and global implications of the US election. They discuss the market microstructure, volatility dynamics, market breadth, potential market decline post-August, and trading strategies amidst increasing volatility.

Cem Karsan returns to discuss tail hedging and the possibility of a new bear market. They explore the impact of the conflict in the Middle East, the importance of thinking differently in asset allocation, and the volatility compression mechanism during the holiday season. The podcast also touches on trend following performance, the link between global conflicts and inflation, and the significance of specific dates in the market.