One Decision In Brief: Will Trump's Moscow Mission Lead To a Peace Deal?
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Dec 2, 2025 In a riveting discussion, the hosts examine Trump's renewed peace initiative in Russia and the expectations for his envoy's Moscow trip. They question whether a ceasefire could strategically harm Ukraine. The intricacies of frozen Russian assets and their potential to fund Ukraine's defense and reconstruction efforts are highlighted. The possibility of Germany stepping into a leadership role within NATO is explored, alongside strategies for enhancing NATO's defensive capabilities.
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Peace Deal Looks Unlikely
- Vladimir Putin shows no sign of compromising on original war aims, making negotiations unlikely to yield a settlement.
- Sir Richard Dearlove thinks only a ceasefire along current lines might be possible, which would advantage Russia tactically.
Both Sides Endure Severe Losses
- Both Russia and Ukraine are suffering heavy losses and the conflict is intensely costly for both sides.
- Dearlove notes Russian losses around Pukrovsk are enormous and Ukraine will not yield on principle.
Sequester Frozen Assets As A Policy Move
- European states should jointly guarantee liability to release frozen Russian assets held in Belgium.
- Dearlove argues sequestering those funds for Ukraine would provide vital medium-term support for weapons and reconstruction.