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Moody's Talks - Emerging Markets Decoded

COP28 climate summit highlights carbon transition risks for emerging markets

Nov 27, 2023
Rebecca Karnovitz, a VP in ESG Research & Outreach at Moody's Investors Service, and Matt Kuchtyak, a VP in Sustainable Finance at the same firm, discuss the key takeaways from COP28. They highlight the critical carbon transition risks facing emerging markets, emphasizing their vulnerability due to reliance on climate-sensitive sectors. The pair delve into the urgent need for climate finance, estimating a requirement of $1 trillion annually by 2030. They also explore innovative solutions for funding and the impressive growth in sustainable bond issuance in response to climate initiatives.
20:14

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Quick takeaways

  • COP28 highlights the urgent need for emerging markets to secure approximately $1 trillion annually by 2030 for climate mitigation and adaptation.
  • The vulnerability of emerging markets to climate change contrasts sharply with advanced economies, exposing them to significant physical and transition risks.

Deep dives

Significance of COP28 for Credit Markets

The 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference, COP28, holds significant implications for credit markets, particularly due to its timing as a midway point of the Paris Agreement. The conference is attended by countries globally, where they negotiate climate action, with decisions potentially impacting climate-related credit for rated issuers. Key sectors such as oil and gas, and electric utilities are identified as having substantial exposure to carbon transition risks, representing nearly $5 trillion in rated debt. Additionally, over $6 trillion in rated debt across multiple sectors is vulnerable to physical climate risks, highlighting the urgent need for governments to implement effective policies following their commitments.

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