Decoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl #71 Sir Lawrence Freedman: How the War in Ukraine Will End
Jul 8, 2025
Sir Lawrence Freedman, a renowned British historian and strategist, offers insights into the current geopolitical landscape. He analyzes the recent conflict between Israel and Iran, questioning the success of U.S. involvement. Freedman delves into the challenges faced by Russia in the Ukraine war, emphasizing the difficulty of finding a resolution and the implications of continued stalemate. He argues that the future of warfare may not rely as heavily on drones as often thought, providing a fresh perspective on evolving military strategies.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Israel's Limited Success Against Iran
- Israel's attack on Iran weakened Iran's military and nuclear capabilities but did not decisively end their nuclear ambitions.
- Israel achieved strategic successes but not a conclusive victory or regime change in Iran.
Iran's Nuclear Ambitions Risk Retaliation
- Iran may feel motivated to fully develop nuclear weapons for deterrence after attacks.
- Covert development is risky as Israel and the US can strike if they detect progress.
Longstanding Iran-Israel Conflict
- The conflict between Israel and Iran has been ongoing in various forms since 1979.
- Despite short skirmishes, the broader conflict remains unresolved without regime change or major shifts.