Lawfare Archive: Alex Vindman on the Escalation in Ukraine
May 5, 2024
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Former National Security Council official, Alex Vindman, discusses the escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine, Putin's motivations, Biden administration's response, Ukraine's push towards European integration, cyber threats, Ukraine's water crisis, and the challenges of government duties amid the conflict.
Russia's actions in Ukraine are driven by a desire to assert power and counter US influence.
The recent military build-up near the Ukrainian border signals Russia's intentions to challenge the Biden administration.
Deep dives
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine: Historical Context
Tensions have escalated between Russia and Ukraine, stemming from Russia's coercive tactics in response to its diminishing influence, starting with Vladimir Putin's efforts to maintain control over Ukraine since the 2000s. The conflict traces back to Ukraine's decision in 2013 to pursue ties with the EU, leading to protests, Russian intervention, and ongoing military hostilities in Crimea and eastern Ukraine.
Motivations Behind Russia's Actions
Russia's actions in Ukraine are motivated by a desire to assert its power on the global stage, counter US influence, and destabilize Ukraine's anti-corruption efforts. The recent military build-up near the Ukrainian border, coupled with saber-rattling, signals Russia's intentions to maintain influence in the region and challenge the Biden administration's stance on Russia.
Water Dispute and Geopolitical Implications
The shutdown of a vital water supply to Crimea by Ukraine has escalated tensions, with Russia responding with troop movements and military posturing. While water supply serves as a contributing factor, the broader geopolitical implications point to Russia's strategic moves to signal strength, distract from internal issues, and pressure Ukraine into compliance.
US Response and Recommendations
The US response to the Ukraine-Russia conflict involves multilateral coordination, messaging support for Ukraine, and potential military assistance to counter Russian aggression. Urging a firm stance against Russia, the US aims to deter further escalation, strengthen Ukraine's position, and send a clear message of support for Ukrainian sovereignty amidst growing geopolitical challenges.
From April 9, 2021: Tensions are heating up between Russia and Ukraine, seven years after the seizure by the Russians of the Crimean Peninsula and the incursions into Eastern Ukraine. With troop movements and some saber rattling, is Vladimir Putin trying to send a message to Joe Biden, or perhaps to Ukrainian President Zelensky? Is he trying to satisfy domestic constituencies or distract them? Benjamin Wittes sat down with Alexander Vindman to talk about what Russia is doing and why, and what the Biden administration should do about it.