Bits + Bips: Why XRP Might Have Been The ‘Most Hated’ Rally Ever - Ep. 744
Dec 4, 2024
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Alex Thorn, Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy Digital, joins the discussion to unpack XRP’s latest rally, labeled the 'most hated rally in crypto.' He offers insights on the new Treasury Secretary's potential impact on inflation and fiscal policy. They also dive into the contentious landscape shaped by Operation Chokepoint 2.0. Conversations shift to Thanksgiving gatherings, where digital assets became hot topics, and a light is shed on Ethereum's emerging patterns and MicroStrategy's role in traditional finance.
The podcast discusses the unexpected mainstream interest in XRP’s rally, highlighting it as the 'most hated' event in crypto history.
Analysis of the Treasury Secretary's potential economic strategies suggests improved market conditions, emphasizing fiscal discipline and investor confidence.
The ongoing debate around stablecoin regulation in the U.S. hints at possible bipartisan support for legislation in the next couple of years.
Deep dives
Increased Interest in Digital Assets
The conversation highlights a notable surge in interest surrounding digital assets, particularly from individuals and groups that had previously been disengaged from the topic. With the current bull market, there is an increase in inquiries from more mainstream audiences regarding the viability of investing in cryptocurrencies. This shift illustrates a growing recognition of the potential benefits associated with digital assets. As a result, experts in the field are seeing more interactions that reflect this new excitement and curiosity surrounding cryptocurrencies.
Impact of Trump Administration on Fiscal Policy
The podcast explores the implications of the Trump administration's fiscal agenda, particularly regarding newly appointed Treasury Secretary Besson's potential strategies. Besson's selection is seen positively by market analysts, given his understanding of economic mechanisms and goals of economic growth, oil production, and restrained tariffs. The discussion suggests that the administration may adopt a more measured approach to tariffs as part of a negotiation strategy rather than as strict policy. This approach may lead to improved market conditions and increased investor confidence.
Anticipated Changes in Interest Rates
There's an ongoing analysis regarding the potential cuts in interest rates by the Federal Reserve as the markets are pricing in a decrease between December and January. Analysts express concerns about inflation trends and the broader economic outlook, suggesting that while current conditions may seem stable, inflationary pressures could still re-emerge. The discussion reflects skepticism about the necessity of rate cuts, highlighting data that indicates stable economic performance, yet suggesting an imminent change in stance from the Fed. The implications of these monetary policy adjustments on both short-term and long-term economic stability remain a topic of interest.
Concerns Over Operation Chokepoint 2.0
Operation Chokepoint 2.0 is identified as a significant issue impacting the crypto space, particularly concerning mainstream financial institutions limiting access to the banking system for crypto-related businesses. The podcast reveals rising political interest and scrutiny with calls from Congress to investigate these actions that essentially debank certain industries. Guest speakers provide insights into how these enforcement measures reflect broader anti-money laundering fears and political dynamics. Notably, the conversation stresses the need for accountability and regulatory clarity to prevent further disruption in access to financial services.
Prospects for Stablecoin Regulation
Speculation about the future of stablecoin regulation in the U.S. emerges, with varying predictions about when such frameworks might be implemented. Key figures in the conversation express optimism that comprehensive legislative action could occur within the next one to two years due to its bipartisan nature. However, the discussion acknowledges the significant roadblocks presented by other pressing issues in Congress that may delay such initiatives. The overall sentiment emphasizes the necessity for clear regulatory guidelines to foster growth and innovation within the stablecoin landscape.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Noelle Acheson, and Ram Ahluwalia are joined by Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Digital, to discuss the surprising mainstream buzz around XRP’s latest rally, dubbed the “most hated rally in crypto.”
They also analyze the new Treasury Secretary’s ambitious economic plan and what it could mean for inflation, fiscal discipline, and market stability. Meanwhile, Ethereum struggles to reclaim its narrative as the go-to blockchain, even as its ETH/BTC ratio shows signs of life.
And in a moment that captures the personal side of crypto’s rise, the team reflects on Thanksgiving table conversations, where bitcoin and digital assets became unexpected stars.
Show highlights:
Why the newly appointed Treasury Secretary might be the right person for the job
Whether the December rates cut is unnecessary
How Marc Andreessen brought Operation Chokepoint 2.0 to the spotlight
How Facebook’s project Libra would have benefited the US Dollar hegemony
Whether the U.S. Congress will pass stablecoin legislation in 2025
Why Ram believes Ryan Selkis would be a good Crypto Czar
How people have been asking more about bitcoin during Thanksgiving
Whether the XRP rally is a negative indicator
What James thinks about the filings for news ETFs, such as WisdomTree’s XRP
Why Alex thinks that ETH could continue its recent rally
The impact of MicroStrategy being added to the Nasdaq-100, aka the QQQ ETF
Hosts:
James Seyffart, Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence