General Kenneth F. McKenzie Jr., a retired USMC general and former commander of U.S. Central Command, shares insights on military strategy in the Middle East. He discusses the evolution of CENTCOM and the challenges of balancing resources in a changing geopolitical landscape. McKenzie elaborates on the rising tensions between Israel and Iran, highlighting the implications for regional security. He also reflects on the importance of a liberal arts education in developing strategic thinking and the emotional impact of military service.
General McKenzie emphasizes the importance of maintaining a credible military presence to deter adversaries like Iran in the Middle East.
The withdrawal from Afghanistan demonstrated the risks of disengagement, illustrating that premature military withdrawal can destabilize allied governments.
Deep dives
The Role of CENTCOM in Military Operations
CENTCOM was established in the early 1980s to oversee military operations in the Middle East as a response to geopolitical threats, particularly from the Soviet Union. Originally, responsibilities were divided among European and Pacific commands, which created organizational challenges in addressing regional conflicts effectively. With the rise of oil dependence and concerns about regional security, CENTCOM was formulated to ensure a coordinated military approach, galvanizing a single command to manage U.S. interests in the area. Over the years, CENTCOM's focus evolved from oil security to countering extremism and maintaining alliances, emphasizing its strategic importance amid changing global threats.
Lessons from the Afghanistan Withdrawal
The withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan in August 2021 illustrated the complexities and consequences of disengagement from a region where American presence had significant implications. Despite a commitment to ongoing support, the rapid collapse of the Afghan government highlighted the consequences of withdrawing military resources too soon. General Kenneth McKenzie emphasized that a smaller force could have maintained enough stability, yet the decision to completely withdraw undercut any chance for the Afghan government to survive without American support. This situation showcased the necessity of understanding the limits of American strategic interests and the effects of abandoning allies in volatile regions.
The Escalation Cycle with Iran
The podcast discusses the cycle of escalation in U.S.-Iran relations, particularly from spring 2019 through the assassination of Qasem Soleimani in early 2020. As Iranian provocations increased, the U.S. response was initially restrained, granting Iran the confidence to escalate their actions further. The decision to strike Soleimani was rooted in the recognition that failing to act would result in greater harm to U.S. citizens and interests in the region. This highlighted the principle that sometimes a show of strength is necessary to deter aggressive actions from adversaries, as evidenced by the subsequent period of quiet following the strike.
Understanding Deterrence in Foreign Policy
The conversation reveals that effective deterrence requires a demonstration of both capability and will, particularly in regions such as the Middle East. Nations often interpret U.S. policies through the lens of perceived weakness, which can embolden hostile actions from adversaries like Iran. McKenzie stresses that an approach focused solely on de-escalation can lead to vacuums of power that adversaries will exploit, ultimately undermining peace efforts. Consequently, maintaining a credible deterrent presence in sensitive geopolitical regions is essential to ensure that adversaries respect U.S. interests and commitments.
General Kenneth F. McKenzie, USMC, retired as the fourteenth commander of U.S. Central Command in 2022 and is the author of The Melting Point: High Command and War in the 21st Century (https://a.co/d/a2RmIDK). He joins the show to talk about the strategic significance of the Middle East.
▪️
Times
• 01:16 Introduction
• 01:38 The Citadel
• 04:15 The humanities
• 10:00 Central Command
• 13:43 Thinking globally
• 17:53 Iran pushes back
• 23:05 Pursuing peace
• 26:15 Afghanistan
• 32:01 Collapse
• 37:58 A regional war
Follow along on Instagram
Find a transcript of today’s episode on our School of War Substack
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode