Lead-Lag Live

Julian Brigden on "Trump 2.0" Market Impacts, Cryptocurrency Dynamics, and Avoiding Speculative Bubbles

Jan 11, 2025
Julian Brigden, a seasoned financial strategist with a background at Lehman Brothers and HSBC, dives into the potential market impacts of a hypothetical "Trump 2.0." He explores the rise of retail investors shaking up traditional finance and highlights the risks of inexperience leading to speculative bubbles, especially in AI and crypto. The conversation also examines the economic implications of tariffs and tax policies under Trump, with a cautionary stance on navigating volatile markets and maintaining investment vigilance.
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INSIGHT

Narrative Bubbles

  • Better stories correlate with bigger bubbles.
  • Compelling narratives combined with international inflows amplify bubbles like the dot-com era.
INSIGHT

Trump 2.0 Market Reaction

  • Markets reacted to Trump's potential return in three phases: assumption, confirmation, and reality.
  • Initial reactions assumed a repeat of Trump 1.0's market impact, with a twist on crypto.
INSIGHT

Trump, Tariffs, and Corporate America

  • Tariffs aren't just aimed at China and Mexico; they target corporate America's offshoring practices.
  • Trump's agenda is to shift more economic benefits to workers, not necessarily boost stocks.
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