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Brussels Sprouts
Trump and the War in Ukraine with Michael Kofman and Robert Lee
Nov 22, 2024
Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, and Robert Lee from the Foreign Policy Research Institute delve into the complexities of the Ukraine war. They discuss the precarious situation on the frontlines, contrasting manpower and winter challenges. The implications of potential U.S. military support changes under a Trump administration are examined, along with Ukraine's bold statements about nuclear capabilities. The guests highlight the crucial role of foreign aid and the hurdles Europe faces in supplying help amid a shifting battlefield.
55:23
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Quick takeaways
- The Ukrainian military faces severe operational challenges, including manpower deficits and exhaustion, complicating its ability to counter Russian advances effectively.
- The unpredictability of U.S. support under a new administration raises concerns about Ukraine's negotiating position and its capacity to sustain military efforts.
Deep dives
Current Battlefield Conditions in Ukraine
The situation on the Ukrainian front is increasingly difficult, with Russia maintaining substantial advantages in manpower and equipment. Ukrainian forces have lost a significant portion of the territory in the Kursk salient, and the conflict dynamics have worsened in regions like Donetsk, where the Russian offensive has accelerated. The Ukrainian military struggles with a manpower deficit particularly in infantry, making effective unit rotation challenging, leading to exhaustion among troops. Despite some improvements in ammunition supply, the ability of Ukrainian forces to mount a sustainable defense is becoming precarious as they face increased pressure from Russian advances.
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