Kenza Bryan, sustainability-linked bonds expert, discusses the unambitious nature of sustainability-linked bonds, GOP backlash against ESG lending, fake carbon credits, and lack of global consensus on debt relief for environmental objectives. She emphasizes the need to engage with new ideas and reform existing systems for climate improvement.
Sustainability-linked bonds have faced criticism for setting unambitious targets that are disconnected from companies' actual transition goals, leading to confusion and a drop-off in interest.
Right-wing hostility to ESG-focused lending, particularly in the US, is expected to persist and possibly worsen until the next US election, with green finance becoming a target for Republican candidates opposing ESG agendas and protecting traditional industries.
Deep dives
Popularity of sustainability-linked bonds and loans is declining
The popularity of sustainability-linked bonds and loans, such as green bonds, has been declining. In the first half of the year, there was a 15% decline in debt issued with a sustainability tag compared to the previous year. Skepticism is growing about specific products and regions, with US investors drawing back due to added legal risks for green bond investors, and concerns about greenwashing persisting in the EU. While overall issuance remains reasonably strong, sustainability-linked bonds have faced criticism for having targets that are disconnected from companies' actual transition goals, leading to confusion and a drop-off in interest.
Growing right-wing hostility to ESG-focused lending in the US
Right-wing hostility to ESG-focused lending, particularly in the US, is expected to persist and possibly worsen until the next US election. Green finance, including sustainability-linked bonds, has become a target for Republican candidates who oppose ESG agendas, presenting it as protection for red state economies. This opposition to green finance is driven by translating hostility to wokeness into business language and protecting traditional industries.
Sustainability-linked bonds: Idealistic, but targets often disconnected
Sustainability-linked bonds are a new type of instrument that aim to tie the cost of debt to meeting social and environmental targets at a corporate level. While they are considered idealistic in theory, there are concerns about the disconnect between the targets set and companies' actual transition goals. Companies are under pressure to publish meaningful transition plans and targets, but often fail to incorporate these meaningful targets into their debt instruments. This has led to skepticism and a drop-off in interest towards sustainability-linked bonds, as the targets are perceived as confusing and nonsensical.
Uncertainty and challenges in carbon credit markets
Carbon credit markets, which are meant to incentivize emission reductions, face challenges and uncertainties. Many carbon credits have been exposed as fake or ineffective, leading to mistrust in the market. However, there is still potential for carbon markets, particularly in the context of countries with vast natural resources seeking ways to monetize them. Questions remain about how to structure carbon credit markets effectively and ensure they represent genuine emission reductions rather than just a sham market. The EU's emissions trading scheme is seen as working relatively well, but a global consensus and improved international institutions are needed to address climate change effectively.
Are sustainability-linked bonds here to stay?
Sustainability-linked bonds (SLBs) tie the issuer’s payment obligations to the satisfaction of some environmental benchmark. In principle, this could be good and provide an incentive for bond issuers to set ambitious climate-related goals. In reality, SLBs have proven a bit of a bummer. They set unambitious targets, include dodgy legal terms, and provide for only a trivial increase in payments if the issuer misses its target. Recently, ESG-focused investment also has prompted political backlash by conservative politicians. Are SLBs doomed to fail, or is there hope for them to play a meaningful role in funding a green transition? Kenza Bryan of the Financial Times has written extensively about SLBs and green finance in general and joins us to talk about the state of the market for SLBs, carbon credits, and green finance in general.
Producer: Leanna Doty
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