ChinaPower
China is More Likely to Blockade Taiwan Than Invade the Island in the Next Ten Years: A Debate with Mr. Lonnie Henley and Dr. Phil Saunders
Jan 2, 2024
Experts debate whether China is more likely to blockade or invade Taiwan in the next ten years. They discuss reasons for a blockade, including military capabilities and potential scenarios. They analyze China's strategies and the challenges involved, as well as the potential consequences and economic costs of a blockade. The podcast concludes with a poll on whether views have changed after the debate.
01:09:40
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Quick takeaways
- China is more likely to blockade Taiwan than invade the island in the next ten years, considering the potential costs and benefits of each option.
- The concept of a blockade involves targeting Taiwan's ports, airfields, and communication hubs, with challenges in penetrating the blockade and the strategy of closing in on the Taiwan Strait.
Deep dives
The likelihood of a blockade or invasion
The podcast discusses the likelihood of China blockading Taiwan or invading the island in the next 10 years. The debate focuses on the proposition that China is more likely to blockade Taiwan than invade. The experts argue their positions, considering the Chinese leadership's decision-making, military capabilities, and the potential costs and benefits of each option.
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