China’s Polar Ambitions: A Conversation with Dr. Matthew Funaiole and Mr. Brian Hart
Jan 16, 2025
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Dr. Matthew Funaiole and Mr. Brian Hart dive into China's polar ambitions, highlighting its strategic interests in the Arctic and Antarctic. Funaiole discusses the implications of China's new research station in Antarctica, emphasizing its dual-use potential. Hart elaborates on the challenges China faces in forming Arctic partnerships and its cooperation with Russia. Their analysis also underscores the importance of transparency in China's polar operations and the significant implications for U.S. security interests and global governance.
China's polar ambitions encompass scientific, commercial, and strategic dimensions, aimed at leveraging new frontiers to expand geopolitical influence.
The dual-use potential of China's polar research stations raises U.S. security concerns, necessitating collaborative efforts to uphold international treaties and mitigate conflicts.
Deep dives
China's Polar Ambitions
China has increasingly set its sights on becoming a polar power, despite significant geographic distances from both the Arctic and Antarctic regions. The country aims to expand its influence in these remote areas through various commercial and scientific endeavors. A key focus is the construction of new research stations, which are designed to amplify China's presence and capabilities in polar research. By enhancing its infrastructure in Antarctica, China seeks to better position itself against more established nations in terms of scientific capacity and geopolitical influence.
Dual-Use Technologies and Strategic Objectives
China's new research facilities in Antarctica, particularly the Chen Ling Station, not only serve scientific purposes but also have potential dual-use applications. This facility will host capabilities that may support military and intelligence operations aside from its research functions. Ground stations for satellite communication are of particular interest, as they can not only facilitate scientific data collection but also serve military ends, thus blurring the lines between civilian and military uses. This dual-use strategy enables China to leverage its scientific investments for broader national security objectives.
Strategic Interests in the Polar Regions
China's interests in both polar regions are primarily scientific and commercial but also encompass strategic and diplomatic dimensions. In the Arctic, China is pursuing opportunities for resource extraction and access to new shipping lanes as the ice melts, while Antarctica largely demands adherence to an existing international legal framework. Despite the challenges inherent in each region, China's growing presence is seen as a means to shape the environmental narrative and exert influence. The complexity of the geopolitical landscape necessitates a nuanced understanding of how China navigates these interests in both areas.
International Response and Collaboration
The expansion of China’s activities in the polar regions raises significant concerns for the United States and its allies, particularly regarding issues of transparency and governance. There is a pressing need for collaborative efforts to uphold international agreements, like the Antarctic Treaty System, while also fostering scientific partnerships to counterbalance China's influence. Strengthening established alliances and developing strategies that emphasize joint scientific missions can help mitigate the potential for conflict and ensure environmental protections. Ultimately, a clear-eyed assessment of China's intentions and capabilities is essential for formulating effective responses to its ambitions in the polar domains.
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Matthew Funaiole and Mr. Brian Hart join us to discuss China’s ambitions in the polar regions. They start by explaining China’s scientific, commercial, strategic, and diplomatic interests in the polar regions and how the polar regions fit into China’s broader strategy of leveraging “new strategic frontiers” to expand its influence, outpace rivals, and set global rules and norms. Dr. Funaiole touches on the differing geopolitical environments of the Arctic and Antarctic and how this shapes Beijing’s approaches to the two regions. Mr. Hart then provides insights on the dual-use potential of China’s polar research stations and how China can use these to achieve military and intelligence goals. They then discuss China’s challenges in forming Arctic partnerships and its growing collaboration with Moscow. They conclude with an assessment of the significance to U.S. security interests and offer thoughts on how Washington can work with allies and partners to advance their shared interests.
Matthew P. Funaiole is vice president of the iDeas Lab, Andreas C. Dracopoulos Chair in Innovation, and senior fellow in the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He specializes in using data-driven research to address complex policy issues, with a focus on Chinese foreign policy, dual-use technology, and maritime trade. In 2022, he launched the “Hidden Reach” initiative, which leverages open-source intelligence to uncover poorly understood sources of Chinese influence and examine how China advances its strategic interests through commercial and scientific ventures.
Brian Hart is deputy director and fellow of the China Power Project at CSIS, and he also helps to lead the CSIS “Hidden Reach” initiative. Brian’s research focuses on Chinese foreign and security policy, China’s military and defense industrial base, Taiwan security issues, U.S.-China relations, and Chinese technology policy.
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