Provincial Governments Urge Bank of Canada to Stop Rate Hikes
Sep 1, 2023
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Canadian banks' rising loan loss provisions, undercounting non-permanent residents in Canada, BC government pleads with Bank of Canada, softening US labor market
The Canadian government has been undercounting non-permanent residents, leading to a gross underestimation of the housing crisis and its implications for the economy.
The recent earnings reports from Canadian banks reveal increasing provisions for bad loans, indicating growing difficulty for households and businesses in repaying loans and suggesting a potential economic slowdown.
Deep dives
Canadian housing crisis exacerbated by undercounting non-permanent residents
According to research by C.I.B.C. economist Benjamin Tal, the Canadian government has been undercounting non-permanent residents, leading to a gross underestimation of the housing crisis. The federal government has admitted their mistake and is promising a revised methodology. This error has serious implications for housing affordability and the overall state of the Canadian economy.
Canadian banks' earnings show increased provisions for bad loans
The recent earnings reports from Canadian banks revealed increased provisions for bad loans. This indicates growing difficulty for households and businesses in repaying loans. The rising delinquency rates for credit card and auto loans suggest that consumers are facing financial stress. These developments may be a warning sign of an economic slowdown and potential recession in the near future.
Bank of Canada likely to hold interest rates steady
The Bank of Canada is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting, despite some speculation of a rate hike. The central bank will likely consider factors such as job cuts, slowing economic growth, and the impact of inflation in making its decision. With other central banks taking a more dovish stance, the Bank of Canada is unlikely to deviate from the current rate.
European Central Bank faces dire economic conditions
The European Central Bank (ECB) is facing challenging economic conditions, with inflation risks and slowing growth. The implementation of monetary policy in such circumstances becomes increasingly complex. The ECB faces the difficult task of balancing inflation control, economic stimulus, and financial stability. The decisions made by the ECB can have broad implications for the European economy and beyond.
Canadian banks report rising loan loss provisions. The Federal Government admits to undercounting non-permanent resident growth by a million people. The BC government pleads with the Bank of Canada ahead of the September 06 meeting. The US labour market shows signs of softening.
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