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Could Trump sink our subs deal?
Mar 10, 2025
Ben Doherty, a former foreign correspondent and Guardian reporter, dives into the intricacies of the AUKUS submarine deal and its precarious future. He discusses the implications of Donald Trump's evolving presidency on U.S.-Australia relations, questioning the reliability of American commitments. Doherty highlights Australia's substantial investment in U.S. shipbuilding, addressing fears of a naval capability gap. He contrasts the AUKUS agreement with previous arrangements with France, exploring practical challenges and the broader strategic landscape in the Pacific.
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Quick takeaways
- The AUKUS agreement, despite its initial promise, faces skepticism about the actual delivery of nuclear-powered submarines due to U.S. political uncertainties.
- Australia's substantial financial contributions raise concerns over the perceived lack of guaranteed benefits, potentially subsidizing U.S. shipbuilding without adequate returns.
Deep dives
Concerns Over AUKUS Implementation
The AUKUS agreement, hailed as a pivotal defense strategy for Australia, faces growing skepticism regarding its actual delivery of nuclear-powered submarines. Recent uncertainties, including former President Donald Trump's lack of familiarity with the AUKUS acronym and the reliability of U.S. support, have highlighted the risks associated with relying on the U.S. for military capabilities. With significant financial commitments already made, concerns arise that Australia may never receive the submarines as promised. Critics argue that the deal, which requires U.S. assurance that the sale will not compromise its naval capacity, poses fundamental challenges, especially amid the current unpredictability in U.S. politics.
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