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Rethinking Strategic Competition with China: A Conversation with Elbridge Colby

Jan 18, 2024
Elbridge Colby, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Development, discusses US strategic competition with China, focusing on the PRC military threat and the need to equip allies for military deterrence. He highlights debates within the Republican party on how much to focus on China and advocates prioritizing the PRC in force planning and relationships with allies. The podcast also explores China's preparation for conflict, concerns about the Biden administration's policy in Asia, and the importance of clear public statements and a military build-up to defend Taiwan.
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INSIGHT

China's Conflict Incentives

  • China may have rational incentives to risk conflict with the US.
  • They believe the US is trying to contain their economic growth, leading to military preparations.
INSIGHT

Focus on Deliberate Conflict

  • Colby isn't as worried about accidental conflict as he is about deliberate conflict.
  • He believes the main concern is a Chinese perception of military advantage leading to an ultimatum or invasion.
INSIGHT

Military Threat Primacy

  • Colby's primary concern regarding China is the military threat, not political or economic actions.
  • He believes military balance is the decisive factor, as other forms of coercion have proven ineffective.
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