Russian Roulette Russia-Ukraine Negotiations: Outlining a U.S. Strategy with Tom Wright
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Apr 4, 2025 Delve into U.S.-Russia negotiations regarding Ukraine, as experts dissect contrasting strategies from the Biden and Trump administrations. Unpack the complexities of a potential ceasefire and the critical balance between immediate peace and long-term conflict resolution. Explore Ukraine's evolving military capabilities and the vital security guarantees needed amidst ongoing aggression. Highlight the implications of NATO's strategy in boosting European defense collaboration and examine the risks of intensified Sino-Russian ties in the current geopolitical landscape.
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Russia's Maximalist Objectives
- Russia's main objective is to dominate Ukraine, hindering its defense and maintaining influence.
- This goal is unacceptable to both Ukraine and the U.S., posing a significant diplomatic challenge.
Russia's High Casualty Rate
- Russia suffers substantial daily casualties, straining their capacity for prolonged war.
- Continued fighting may force Putin into a general mobilization, a measure he seeks to avoid.
Biden Administration's Stick Approach
- Use continued military support for Ukraine to signal to Putin that he cannot win.
- A potential Harris administration could request more military aid.