Harsh Truths About 2024 and the Future of the U.S. Economy
Jul 19, 2024
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Former Chicago Fed president, Austan Goolsbee, discusses the U.S. economy with Derek Thompson. They talk about the Federal Reserve, high tariffs, housing production, and the future of the economy. Goolsbee shares insights on interest rates, inflation, and labor market responses.
Failed Trump assassination attempt's minimal impact on US democracy predictions.
Challenges faced by Joe Biden's campaign due to age and messaging strategy uncertainties.
Deep dives
Overview of House of the Dragons Season 2
House of the Dragons Season 2 brings a Harrenhal-sized slate of conversations through various shows. 'Talk the Thrones' airs with Chris Ryan, Joanna Robinson, and others discussing timely reactions. 'The Midnight Boys' delve into reactions with Van Lathan, Charles Holmes, Steve Almond, and Jomi Adeniran. 'House of Ar' offers deep dives by Joanna and others. 'Ravens' gather for content trials with Joe, Neil Miller, and Dave Gonzalez. Episodes are available on video on Spotify and Ringiverse's YouTube channel. Podcast episodes stream on Spotify and other platforms. The show is sponsored by KPMG and Indeed for transformative solutions and streamlined hiring processes.
Assassination Attempt Analysis
The aftermath of a failed assassination attempt on Trump sparked various predictions and speculations about its implications. Analyst Benjamin Jones suggests that assassins often sow chaos rather than direct history. Historical data shows that failed assassinations in democracies like the US lead to minimal impact. The attempt's effects on American politics, economics, violence, and law remain uncertain, challenging prevalent predictions.
Reflections on Joe Biden's Campaign
Challenges faced by Joe Biden's presidential campaign are scrutinized. Concerns linger on his age, with voters viewing him as too old for the role. His verbal missteps and lack of coherence during public appearances raise questions about his campaign's messaging and strategy. The inability to address these issues compounds difficulties for Biden's campaign, leading to uncertainties about its future trajectory.
Insights from Austin Goolsbee on the Economy
Austin Goolsbee sheds light on the Federal Reserve's role and decision-making processes. As a voting member of the FOMC, Goolsbee navigates the complexities of economic stabilization and employment maximization. Discussions range from inflation trends and interest rate considerations to labor market dynamics and the impacts of supply shocks. Goolsbee emphasizes the importance of monitoring economic indicators and adapting to changing conditions in guiding monetary policy decisions.
On today's episode: the state of American politics and the future of America's economy. Derek discusses a media myth in the aftermath of the failed Trump assassination attempt and reviews three basic truths about Joe Biden's doomed presidential bid. Then, Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee joins the show to answer Derek's blunt question, "Are you going to cut rates next month?" Plus, they discuss the Federal Reserve, how it works, how he sees the economy, whether high rates are constraining housing production, and whether Trump's signature economic policy idea—high tariffs in an age of global inflation—would help the U.S. economy. (TLDR: No.)
If you have questions, observations, or ideas for future episodes, email us at PlainEnglish@Spotify.com.