Erica York, an expert from the Tax Foundation, sheds light on the intricate world of tariffs and their unexpected consequences. She explains how proposed tariffs by politicians like Trump and Biden aim to protect domestic industries but often burden American consumers. The discussion highlights the challenges faced in sectors like electric vehicles and the ripple effects on the economy. A fascinating perspective emerges on the trade-offs between protecting certain industries while risking broader economic setbacks and international trade relationships.
Tariffs primarily increase costs for American consumers rather than foreign exporters, affecting the prices of imported goods significantly.
The cycle of tariffs can distort the economy by benefiting protected industries while harming consumer purchasing power and leading to potential GDP shrinkage.
Deep dives
Impact of Tariffs on Consumers
Tariffs are taxes applied to imported goods, which mainly burden American consumers rather than foreign exporters. When tariffs are imposed, the cost typically gets passed onto importers in the U.S., who may then raise prices for consumers. For example, while a tariff on electric vehicles aims to protect domestic manufacturers, it also dramatically increases costs for American buyers, as seen with proposed tariffs that could double the price of Chinese electric cars. Economists find that nearly all recent tariffs have resulted in increased prices for U.S. goods, illustrating that the ultimate financial burden is placed on American consumers.
Economic Consequences and Retaliation
The implementation of tariffs not only raises consumer prices but also distorts the overall economy by favoring certain protected industries at the expense of others. For instance, while protected sectors might enjoy higher profits, this comes at the cost of reduced disposable income for consumers, which negatively impacts unprotected industries. Additionally, retaliatory tariffs can exacerbate economic strain, with countries like China targeting quintessential American products in response to U.S. tariffs. This cycle of tariffs could lead to long-term economic contraction, with estimates suggesting that current proposals may shrink the GDP by up to 0.8%, which is significant in a $27 trillion economy.
Donald Trump wants new tariffs on goods coming into the US, describing them as a tax on other countries. The Democrats are no stranger to trade tariffs themselves, with Joe Biden having added them to numerous goods coming into the US from China.
We talk to Erica York from the Tax Foundation about how tariffs work and who ends up paying for them.
Presenter: Tim Harford
Producers: Kate Lamble and Beth Ashmead Latham
Series producer: Tom Colls
Production co-ordinator: Katie Morrison
Sound mix: Steve Greenwood
Editor: Richard Vadon
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