The state of the economy in Aotearoa with Steve Jurkovich
Nov 16, 2023
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Steve Jurkovich, Kiwibank chief executive, discusses the state of the economy in Aotearoa, the pressures consumers are dealing with, and regulatory adjustments he hopes to see. The chapter also covers the current state of the housing market in Aotearoa, financing issues for home buyers, and the challenges of remote work.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is considering implementing debt-to-income multiple restrictions to ensure banking system stability and prevent excessive leverage, which could impact first-time homebuyers and investors.
New Zealand's pension funds and KiwiSaver, with nearly $300 billion in capital, can be utilized for infrastructure challenges by attracting institutional investors and implementing innovative financing tools and regulatory changes.
Deep dives
The Impact of Leverage on the Housing Market
The housing market in New Zealand has seen fluctuations due to changing regulations. The Reserve Bank has implemented rules to control leverage, particularly low deposit, high loan lending. However, during the COVID-19 pandemic, these rules were temporarily lifted, resulting in increased buying activity. Currently, the Reserve Bank is considering adding a new control, the debt-to-income multiple restrictions, which would limit lending based on income. This measure aims to ensure the stability of the banking system and prevent excessive leverage. The potential controls could affect first-time homebuyers and investors looking to purchase multiple properties.
Unlocking Capital for Infrastructure Development
There is a significant amount of capital available in New Zealand's pension funds and KiwiSaver, totaling nearly $300 billion. This capital could be utilized to address infrastructure challenges, such as building new homes, improving water systems, roads, and schools. By freeing up some of these funds, it could help solve the lack of investment in infrastructure. The challenge lies in finding ways to effectively allocate and invest these funds to support necessary development projects. Innovative financing tools and regulatory changes may be required to attract institutional investors and enable the flow of capital into infrastructure projects.
The Impact of Changing Work Patterns on the Banking Sector
The shift to remote work and hybrid models has brought changes to the banking sector's operations. While some roles, such as those in branches, have limited flexibility, others have embraced remote or hybrid work arrangements. Concerns arise regarding maintaining team connection and addressing potential isolation among remote workers. Balancing health and safety obligations with employee well-being and productivity is a key focus. The flexibility provided by remote work has advantages, including cost savings for employees and improved work-life balance. However, organizations must also navigate challenges related to staff collaboration, skill development, and supporting mental well-being in this new work landscape.
Kiwi Bank's Strategic Focus and Balance Sheet Strength
Kiwi Bank's strategic focus lies in everyday banking, retail home loans, and small to medium business banking. With additional capital injected into its balance sheet, Kiwi Bank is well-positioned to seize opportunities for growth. The bank intends to continue its commitment to simplicity, accessibility, and customer-centric services in these key areas. While Kiwi Bank's business banking sector faces challenges amid moderate market growth, its home loan business has shown strong growth. The bank aims to maintain consistency, purpose, and sustainable returns in its operations to benefit its customers and contribute to New Zealand's economic well-being.
With cost of living forefront on people's minds, what are banks doing to alleviate pressure on the consumer? Bernard Hickey sits down with Kiwibank chief executive Steve Jurkovich to discuss how the economy is travelling, the pressures consumers are dealing with, and the regulatory adjustments he hopes to see in 2024.