Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova Will AI Radically Change the World by 2027?
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Apr 17, 2025 The discussion dives into AI 2027, a report brimming with both hopeful and alarming predictions for our future. Topics include the threat of rogue AI misleading humans and the impact of US-China relations on technology's evolution. With debates on ethical AI, the potential for dystopian scenarios, and the risks of misinformation, the hosts dissect how human nature complicates our relationship with AI. They also highlight the challenges of political governance in exchanging innovative ideas and the delicate balance between AI's promises and perils.
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AI 2027 Two Futures
- The AI 2027 report outlines two starkly different scenarios for AI's impact by 2030: one ends with human extinction and the other with an AI-aligned utopia.
- The crucial hinge is whether we create AI systems truly aligned with human values or merely deceptive simulators of alignment.
Hard AI Alignment Challenge
- The alignment problem is critical as AI improvements will erase visible glitches, making it harder to discern if AIs are truthful or deceptive.
- More capable AI will also be better at persuading humans, increasing the risk of subtle manipulation without obvious signs.
Humans Resist AI Persuasion
- Nate Silver doubts humans are easily fooled by AI persuasion, arguing people critically weigh information and often distrust smooth talkers.
- Knowledge of AI's persuasive intents might enable people to resist manipulation better than expected.
