Former banker and investor Steven Rattner discusses the ongoing UAW Strike, the challenges of meeting UAW demands, and the transition to EVs in the US car industry. The podcast explores the impact of unionization and globalization on auto manufacturing, government intervention in strategic industries like batteries, and the role of government incentives and investment.
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Quick takeaways
The UAW strike and negotiations with automakers highlight the intersection of labor concerns, productivity, and long-term competitiveness in the evolving auto industry.
Transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) poses challenges for legacy automakers, including potential strains on the workforce and questions about labor costs, competitiveness, and consumer demand.
Negotiations between the UAW and automakers are influenced by economic conditions, as well as the desire for workers to secure a larger share of profits while automakers balance financial constraints.
Deep dives
The Economic Backdrop and Power Dynamics Play a Key Role in UAW Strikes
The ongoing United Auto Workers (UAW) strikes against the Detroit three automakers are happening against the backdrop of historically low unemployment and post-pandemic reshoring efforts. The strong labor market has empowered workers to push for higher wages and better benefits. However, the global trend of reshoring also poses challenges for industries like autos that are grappling with the EV transition and competition from Chinese manufacturers. The tensions between the UAW and automakers highlight the intersection of labor concerns, productivity, and long-term competitiveness in the evolving auto industry.
Legacy Automakers Face Challenges in Transitioning to Electric Vehicles
Legacy automakers face the challenge of transitioning to electric vehicles (EVs) and adapting their traditional business models. EV production requires less labor and has fewer parts, posing a potential strain on the workforce. The ability to produce EVs efficiently and at scale will become key for automakers' success. Questions remain regarding the labor costs, competitiveness, and consumer demand for EVs among traditional automakers.
The Importance of Economic Backdrop and Timing in UAW Negotiations
The negotiations between the UAW and the automakers are influenced by the current economic conditions, including historically low unemployment rates and the desire for workers to secure a larger share of profits. In 2009, the UAW made concessions during the auto rescue to help the industry survive, but now the union is seeking to address previous concessions and secure additional benefits. The outcome will depend on reaching a balance between workers' demands and the automakers' financial constraints.
Labor Costs and the Future of the Auto Industry
Labor costs are a significant factor for the auto industry, with EVs requiring less labor compared to traditional internal combustion engine vehicles. The transition to EVs may impact the workforce composition and potentially lead to job losses. Balancing labor costs, productivity, and long-term profitability will be crucial for automakers as they navigate the changing landscape of the industry.
Prospects for Domestic Semiconductor Manufacturing
The podcast episode also discussed the challenges associated with domestic semiconductor manufacturing. While there is a push to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers, building a competitive semiconductor industry in the US requires not only financial investments but also a supportive regulatory environment. Furthermore, the transition to EVs and other technologies will increase the demand for semiconductors, highlighting the importance of developing a robust domestic supply chain.
When the US auto industry needed a restructuring or bailout in 2009, the Obama administration tapped former banker and investor Steven Rattner to lead the effort. As the government's "car czar," he helped shape an agreement that saw the United Auto Workers accept significant concessions in order to preserve the financial stability of the big three American carmakers. Now the UAW is on strike, with an aim of reversing many of those concessions and gaining new benefits for their workers. So what can the UAW reasonably accomplish? How plausible are their asks? And can US industry remain competitive with higher labor costs? On this episode of Odd Lots, we speak with Rattner to get his take on the negotiations, the challenge of the energy transition on the incumbent automakers, and the goals of Bidenomics more broadly, as the administration seeks to boost domestic manufacturing in areas like EVs, batteries, and semiconductors.