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Odd Lots

How An Old Banking Regulation May Have Driven The 1970s Inflation

Oct 16, 2023
48:06
Snipd AI
Exploring the causes of 1970s inflation, the podcast discusses the impact of banking regulation Reg Q on the economy. It highlights how rate hikes hindered the supply side rather than cooling the demand side. The episode also explores the importance of banks in credit provision and their role in the housing market. Overall, it offers insights into the potential risks of inflation and its relevance to the current economic situation.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Regulation Q (Reg Q), a banking regulation from the 1930s, impaired the transmission of monetary policy by placing a ceiling on deposit interest rates, resulting in disintermediation, credit crunches, decreased savings, and a demand-side impact on inflation in the 1970s.
  • The analysis challenges the traditional monetary narrative by highlighting the importance of supply factors, including credit constraints caused by regulations like Reg Q, in driving inflation, and emphasizes the need to consider both supply and demand factors in determining the impact of monetary policy on the economy.

Deep dives

Reg Q and its Impact on Inflation and Credit

The podcast episode discusses the role of Regulation Q (Reg Q) in the inflation and credit dynamics of the 1970s. Reg Q, a banking regulation from the 1930s, placed a ceiling on deposit interest rates, impacting the ability of banks to compete for deposits. This led to disintermediation, with deposits flowing out of banks and causing credit crunches. The restriction on interest rates hindered the transmission of monetary policy, making deposits less attractive and suppressing savings. The resulting effects included a demand-side impact, with reduced savings and higher spending, as well as a supply-side impact, with credit constraints leading to decreased investment and output. The analysis suggests that both supply and demand factors played a role in the inflationary episodes of the 1970s, and that financial friction had an impact on supply. The removal of Reg Q in the early 1980s with two stages of deregulation facilitated the unwinding of these dynamics and the reduction of inflation.

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