Unchained How to Trade Prediction Markets Without an Opinion on the Event - Ep. 979
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Dec 13, 2025 Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research and expert in crypto trading strategies, dives into the evolving world of prediction markets. He outlines why these markets are still in their early stages and discusses the migration of crypto traders toward them. Markus shares insights on Polymarket and Kalshi, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses. He also reveals ten unique trading strategies that allow for successful predictions without previous biases and emphasizes the importance of the collective wisdom from market participants.
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Prediction Markets Are Early-Stage
- Prediction market adoption is still in its infancy despite rising volumes and users.
- Markus expects significant growth into 2026 as competition and institutional interest increase.
Prediction Markets Behave Like Options
- Prediction markets function like exotic one-touch barrier options with binary outcomes.
- Traders must price probability and act fast on news, unlike buy-and-hold crypto narratives.
Choose Platforms By Liquidity And Onboarding
- Prioritize platforms with liquidity and fast onboarding to access volume and market makers.
- Polymarket's crypto-native flows and Kalshi's US focus shape different competitive advantages.