The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence

BlackRock Sees Credit Pain as Tariff Confusion Reigns

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Apr 24, 2025
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INSIGHT

Improved High Yield Credit Quality

  • High yield credit quality has improved significantly over 15-20 years, with more double Bs and fewer triple Cs today.
  • This higher starting quality offers more cushion against economic volatility and potential downturns.
INSIGHT

Bifurcated High Yield Market Spreads

  • The high yield market is bifurcated; some bonds yield over 12% while others are more stable.
  • Current spreads are about 175 basis points wider, but there's room for more widening as fundamentals deteriorate.
ADVICE

Build Portfolio in Stable Sectors

  • Focus on higher quality credit segments in volatile markets; allocate 25-30% of capital there.
  • Use volatility to add to positions in stable sectors with recurring revenue.
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