Hold Your Fire!

Can a U.S.-Arab Roadmap Stop Sudan’s War?

11 snips
Oct 11, 2025
Shewit Woldemichael, a Crisis Group Sudan expert, shares insights on the intense conflict in Sudan, including the dire humanitarian crisis in El Fasher. Alan Boswell, who analyzes military dynamics in the Horn of Africa, discusses the escalating arms race fueled by external interests. Yasmine Farouk highlights the Gulf states' conflicting strategies in supporting either a civilian government or military control. Together, they evaluate the Quad's recent peace roadmap, its potential impact, and the mixed reactions from local factions.
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INSIGHT

Two Rival Centers Of Power

  • Sudan now has two rival centers of power: SAF-aligned government and the RSF's parallel administration.
  • This split creates deep political fragmentation and risks de facto partition of the country.
INSIGHT

Al-Fashir On The Brink

  • Al-Fashir is under intense RSF assault with major parts of the city cut off and civilians facing starvation and atrocities.
  • SAF forces hold limited pockets but face severe shortages and humanitarian collapse risks.
INSIGHT

Technology Is Reshaping The War

  • The war is shifting toward advanced technologies: drones, surveillance, and long-range artillery are changing tactics.
  • This reduces reliance on mass troop movements and signals increased external support and escalation.
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