Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford

Fire at The Beverly Hills Supper Club (Update)

17 snips
Jul 25, 2025
Explore the tragic fire at the Beverly Hills Supper Club and its devastating consequences, blending personal stories with a critical look at safety oversights. Delve into the courage shown by individuals during crises, and how human behavior can hinder emergency responses. Reflect on parallels between this disaster and the COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting the dangers of complacency and the importance of proactive measures. The discussion emphasizes learning from history to better prepare for future crises.
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ANECDOTE

Walter Bailey's Fire Rescue Heroism

  • In 1977, a fire rapidly spread at the Beverly Hills Supper Club with 1,200 people unaware and unprepared.
  • Walter Bailey, an 18-year-old assistant waiter, courageously tried to evacuate the crowd despite being ignored initially.
INSIGHT

Planned Continuation Bias Explained

  • People often stick to their original plans despite worsening situations, a bias called planned continuation bias.
  • This bias narrows focus and makes individuals avoid rethinking plans even with new negative information.
ANECDOTE

Tim Harford's COVID Delay Confession

  • Tim Harford personally delayed reacting seriously to the COVID-19 threat even after expert warnings in February 2020.
  • He admits he behaved like Captain Ruggiati, ignoring clear signs and not adjusting his plans timely.
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