Dan Rasmussen, founder of Verdad Advisers and author of "The Humble Investor," discusses compelling market insights. He explains why high bond yields may not equal high returns and the potential in undervalued international stocks. Dan explores how private equity performance hinges more on portfolio construction than manager skill. He highlights positive changes in Japanese corporate governance and assesses UK market valuations post-Brexit. With a focus on humility in investing, he challenges prevailing market assumptions, offering valuable perspectives for all investors.
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insights INSIGHT
Meta-Analysis in Investing
Investing is not about your analysis, but your analysis relative to the market consensus.
Identifying how your ideas differ from popular opinion is crucial.
insights INSIGHT
Humility in Investing
Acknowledge the limits of understanding in investing; forecasting is imperfect.
Focus on where others are too confident and how to profit from their mistakes.
insights INSIGHT
Yield vs. Return
High bond yields don't guarantee high returns; yields and total return often diverge due to factors like defaults and downgrades.
This "fool's yield" phenomenon traps investors reaching for yield without properly assessing risk.
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In this episode of Excess Returns, Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau sit down with Dan Rasmussen from Verdad Advisers to discuss his firm's top research pieces from the past year.
They explore several fascinating market insights, including:
Why high bond yields don't necessarily translate to high returns
The dramatic outperformance of U.S. markets post-financial crisis and the potential opportunity in cheaper international stocks
How private equity return dispersion may be more about portfolio construction than manager skill
The promising changes happening in Japanese corporate governance
Britain's market valuation in the wake of Brexit
Dan also announces his upcoming book "The Humble Investor" which challenges common assumptions about predictability in markets. Throughout the conversation, he offers thought-provoking perspectives on market efficiency, the limitations of forecasting, and why humility is crucial for investment success.
Whether you're an institutional investor or individual market participant, this discussion provides valuable insights into contrarian investment opportunities and challenges prevailing market narratives with data-driven analysis.
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