Another recession warning and this one is related to brewing problems with unemployment. The September payroll report has put mainstream focus back on a soft- or no-landing scenario, but we've been there before not long ago. Meanwhile, apart from the unreliable payroll figure everything else continues to point to bigger trouble, including Americans who have stopped using their credit cards.

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ABC News Blockbuster jobs report flexes economic strength, defying Americans' lukewarm attitudes
https://abcnews.go.com/Business/blockbuster-jobs-report-flexes-economic-strength-defying-americans/story?id=108887637

Challenger, Gray & Christmas Job Cuts Flat in September 2024 from August; YTD Surpasses 2023
https://www.challengergray.com/blog/job-cuts-flat-in-september-2024-from-august-ytd-surpasses-2023/

Robert Shimer Reassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment
https://home.uchicago.edu/~shimer/wp/reassess.pdf

Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Credit Card Shutdowns Begin: The First Sign of Economic Collapse