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Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Smoke On the UAW Strike

Sep 14, 2023
Jonathan Smoke of COX Automotive and Mike Brisson, a vehicle industry expert, discuss the potential consequences of the UAW strike for the auto industry, including supply chain disruptions and closure of operations. They also analyze the impact of the strike on automakers, inflation, and small business pessimism. The discussion also touches on business confidence and the vehicle industry, strikes' effects on vehicle prices, and statistics on inflation and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Lastly, they address concerns about rising fuel prices and its potential effects on the economy.
01:17:53

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Quick takeaways

  • The UAW strike could last for months and have significant disruptions to production and supply chains in the auto industry.
  • The federal budget recorded a surplus in August due to the Supreme Court striking down the implementation of the Biden administration's student loan forgiveness plan.

Deep dives

UAW Strike and Potential Impact on the Auto Industry

The podcast episode discusses the potential UAW strike and its impact on the auto industry. There is a growing belief that the strike could last for a couple of months, with potential disruptions to production and supply chains. The strike is expected to target specific factories, including transmission plants, and may force manufacturers to shut down operations across the board. The magnitude of the strike is significant, potentially affecting approximately 150,000 vehicles per week. GM and Stellantis are likely to face challenges sooner, while Ford may be better positioned in the short term. The strike also raises important issues for both sides, including compensation, benefits, tiered rules for employees, and the shift to electric vehicle production. Other brands like Toyota could benefit from the situation, as they have non-unionized plants and could potentially increase production. The duration of the strike and its impact on truck prices, given the mix of vehicle sales, will be important factors to monitor.

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