The Remnant with Jonah Goldberg Shadows On the Wall of Twitter’s Cave | Interview: Jesse Arm
22 snips
Dec 17, 2025 Jesse Arm, Vice President for External Operations at the Manhattan Institute and a notable pollster, dives into the evolving landscape of the GOP. He discusses the split between the traditional conservative base and a younger, diverse faction. The conversation tackles the challenges of replicating Trump's unique coalition and examines how new entrants often lack a cohesive ideology. They also explore the cultural impact of technology, the future of social conservatism, and the importance of community and religious revival in shaping Republican values.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Two Diverging GOP Coalitions
- The GOP now contains two diverging camps: a longstanding conservative majority and a younger, diverse new entrant bloc.
- The new entrants hold more progressive economic and cultural views yet still voted for Trump in 2024.
Treat Polls As Directional Snapshots
- Polls are blurry snapshots, useful for trend lines rather than absolute truth.
- Jesse Arm stresses multimodal polling and qualitative follow-ups to interpret results properly.
Trump's Coalition Is Personality-Driven
- Jonah Goldberg argues Trump's coalition is sui generis and tied to his personality.
- He believes most of Trump's coalition won't transfer intact to other Republican politicians.