#9 - Why Avoiding Financial Soothsayers Is Usually Financially and Emotionally Rewarding
Jun 29, 2021
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The podcast explores the importance of avoiding financial soothsayers and the rewards of not following their advice. It discusses the real estate advice given during the financial pandemic and reflects on personal experiences. The impact of human emotions on market behavior is explored, highlighting anxiety as a driving factor. The connection between anxiety and underlying money beliefs is discussed, emphasizing the importance of challenging and researching these beliefs.
22:39
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Quick takeaways
Managing anxiety and resisting the urge to constantly take action leads to better investment returns.
Understanding the emotions and beliefs driving financial decisions can lead to wiser choices and greater clarity.
Deep dives
Making Good Financial Decisions is not Just About the Money
Research shows that 90% of financial decisions are made emotionally, not logically. The host, Rick Kaler, blends financial advice with the emotional aspect of decision-making. He shares his own experience of finding investing exciting in his early 20s, but now finds it exhausting. He advises clients against picking individual stocks and encourages following an index. Good investing is boring because it requires managing anxiety and resisting the urge to constantly take action. The financial press often promotes active involvement, but research suggests that less frequent monitoring of investments leads to better returns.
The Challenge of Predicting Future Market Prices
Rick Kaler reflects on a time when he made an inaccurate prediction about real estate prices. He advised readers to wait and not buy during a recession, expecting prices to fall. However, prices actually increased. Despite his expertise in real estate, he acknowledges the influence of human emotions on market behavior. He realizes that markets are not purely driven by logic, but also by fear, anxiety, and other emotions. Predicting future prices accurately based on logic is impossible because it ignores the emotional factor that drives markets.
Sitting with Anxiety and Challenging Beliefs
Kaler discusses the anxiety that often drives people to make quick financial decisions. He suggests learning to sit with the anxiety and exploring the underlying beliefs and scripts that contribute to it. By understanding these beliefs, individuals can challenge their validity and search for evidence that may contradict them. Kaler believes that by examining the emotions and beliefs driving financial decisions, individuals can find greater clarity and make wiser choices. He advises against acting solely to relieve anxiety and emphasizes the importance of separating what can be changed from what needs to be accepted.
Investment success requires that a person have a high tolerance for boredom, which means turning a deaf ear to the financial press’s investment panic-de-jour. It's good for your financial health to avoid following the advice of prognosticating financial soothsayers. Even when one of them is me. In May of 2020 as the pandemic was shutting down the economy, I made a firm recommendation to my clients and readers who could put off a decision to buy real estate, to wait a while before buying a new home. Anyone who acted on my advice and waited to buy residential real estate cost themselves a bundle. You can read more here.
A podcast that blends the nuts and bolts of financial advice with the emotions that drive making them. Rick Kahler, CFP®, CFT-I™, has helped people make better money decisions by integrating financial planning. He blends the nuts and bolts of financial advice with the emotions that drive making them and shares them on his financial therapy podcast.
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