The Daily

Swing Voters and the Supreme Court Vacancy

Sep 22, 2020
Nate Cohn, a domestic correspondent for The Upshot at The New York Times, dives deep into the political chaos following Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death. He discusses how swing state voters are shifting their allegiances, showing more trust in Biden for the Supreme Court vacancy. The conversation explores the tension between law and order and pandemic concerns affecting Trump's campaign. Voter sentiments on Ginsburg's legacy reveal nuanced attitudes toward major issues, painting a complex picture of the upcoming election.
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INSIGHT

Pre-Ginsburg Polls

  • Biden led Trump in swing state polls before Ginsburg's death, exceeding 300 electoral votes.
  • Trump's law-and-order strategy, while somewhat effective, hasn't closed the gap due to his own weaknesses.
INSIGHT

Trump's Challenge

  • Trump needs a winning issue to offset pandemic concerns; neither law and order nor the economy has worked.
  • Ginsburg's death presents a potential turning point, but its impact remains uncertain.
INSIGHT

Supreme Court Trust

  • Pre-Ginsburg polls revealed Biden held a slight edge on Supreme Court appointments in key states.
  • This advantage could shift depending on Trump's nominee and the political context.
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