The 26-Year Old Exposing $10B Public Companies | Edwin Dorsey, The Bear Cave
Jul 18, 2024
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Guest Edwin Dorsey, author of The Bear Cave, discusses short selling, finding bad companies, using FOIA requests, corporate red flags, targeting minorities, and newsletter growth strategies. He shares insights on researching companies, exposing unethical practices, and leveraging customer sentiment. The podcast also explores short selling mechanics, customer sentiment impact on companies, insider selling significance, building newsletters, and exposing fraudulent practices in public companies.
Customer sentiment influences company value, not just financial metrics.
Exposing corporate misconduct crucial for transparency and ethical practices.
Patterns of insider selling can reveal potential red flags in companies.
Utilizing podcast appearances as a strategy for newsletter growth.
Deep dives
Customer Sentiment Impacts Company Value
The sentiment of customers towards a company significantly affects its value, regardless of financial metrics. Companies with strong customer loyalty and positive relationships can be more valuable than those with unhappy customers, even if financial data appears similar.
Importance of Investigating Company Misconduct
Investigating and exposing corporate misconduct, such as unethical practices or fraud, is crucial for maintaining transparency and ethical business practices. Identifying red flags like management turnover or regulatory issues can provide valuable insights into a company's integrity.
Value of Insider Selling Patterns
Analyzing patterns of insider selling, particularly multiple executives or board members selling shares, can reveal potential red flags about a company's future prospects. Patterns of sudden resignations or significant insider selling can indicate underlying issues within a company.
Leveraging Podcasts for Audience Growth
Utilizing podcast appearances as a strategy for expanding audience reach and gaining credibility can be highly effective for newsletter growth. Engaging with diverse podcast audiences can help attract new subscribers and establish a closer connection with readers.
Growing Newsletter Subscriptions through Collaborations
One effective way to grow newsletter subscribers is through genuine collaborations with other newsletters rather than just transactional shout-outs. Substack's recommendation feature and podcast partnerships are highlighted as potent strategies for growth. The podcast episode stresses that organic friendships and valuable content are key to gaining new subscribers, emphasizing the importance of producing quality content and fostering genuine connections.
Monetization Strategies for Newsletters
The episode delves into various monetization models for newsletters, including free and paid subscription content. The speaker explains their revenue generation process, such as offering a weekly email with summarized campaigns for free subscribers and in-depth company analysis for paid subscribers. Another revenue stream mentioned involves interview content partially behind a paywall. Additionally, the value of building relationships with the audience and potential for cross-selling products are discussed.
Challenges Faced by Start-up Projects
The challenges of launching side projects and start-ups are highlighted, as discussed in the podcast episode. An example is shared regarding a failed job board initiative due to increased spam rates and lack of initial momentum. The conversation addresses the importance of strategic planning, outreach efforts, and overcoming obstacles when introducing new ventures to the market.
Exploring Opportunities in Survey Technology
The podcast episode explores the potential for improved survey technology in the market research and investment sectors. Specifically, the limitations of existing survey platforms like SurveyMonkey are discussed, prompting the consideration of new survey methodologies that prioritize non-expert insights and follow-up interactions. The speaker advocates for a more efficient survey platform that connects investors with college students to obtain valuable and actionable insights for investment decision-making.
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Edwin Dorsey is the author of The Bear Cave, a weekly newsletter exposing publicly traded companies that are misleading investors and harming customers.
I’ve enjoyed Edwin’s writing since he launched his newsletter the Bear Cave in 2020, and he shares his best kept secret for doing customer research: FOIA requests. We also get into short selling more broadly, common corporate red flags, the economics of his media business, almost getting kicked out of Stanford for raising issues at Care.com his sophomore year, Planet Fitness’s illegal billing operation, Hershey’s Mr. Beast problem, and the creator economy more broadly.
(00:00) Intro
(05:11) How shorting works
(07:20) How short sellers exposed Enron
(10:51) Edwin’s process for finding bad companies
(15:52) Root Insurance and aggressive pricing
(20:14) FOIA: the best kept secret for company research
(24:30) Biggest corporate red flags
(28:17) Most common industries for bad actors
(29:32) Why scammers target minorities and low income consumers
(31:46) Edwin’s $1B to $10B market cap sweet spot
(34:03) The challenges of mainstream media
(38:15) Exposing Care.com as a student at Stanford
(45:25) Why immediate board resignations are a red flag
(49:45) Launching The Bear Cave in Feb 2020
(49:37) Using podcast appearances to grow
(56:06) The newsletter's business model
(1:00:00) Experimenting with side-newsletters, job boards, and consumer surveys
(1:10:04) Planet Fitness: gym or illegal billing operation?
(1:18:45) Herbalife the pyramid scheme
(1:21:05) Hershey’s MrBeast problem
(1:28:15) Marketing and social signaling in CPG products
(1:30:47) AgEagle Aerial Systems: $4B market cap, zero revenue
(1:34:50) The most ridiculous SPACs
(1:41:06) How Edwin differentiates his research
(1:47:07) Favorite short sellers
(1:47:59) Companies that will lose to AI
(01:49:29) Why creator-led business will steal share from incumbents