The Odd Years

California, Here We Come: Prop 50, Pelosi and Newsom's Future

Nov 11, 2025
Mark Barabak, a seasoned columnist from the Los Angeles Times, joins Aaron Covey, a redistricting expert from the Cook Political Report. They dive into Nancy Pelosi's impactful retirement and its ripple effects on California politics. Barabak explores how Prop 50 shifts Democratic power and bolsters vulnerable incumbents, while Covey predicts seat changes and identifies crucial district battles. The duo also discusses the long-term implications of partisan redistricting and examines Governor Newsom's prospects as he eyes a 2028 presidential run.
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INSIGHT

Prop 50 Is A Major Redistricting Shift

  • Prop 50's passage is the most consequential redistricting development to date and shifts California politics significantly.
  • The Democratic map will likely cost Republicans three to five House seats in 2026 and shore up vulnerable Democrats.
ANECDOTE

Pelosi's Early Rise And Tactical Skill

  • Mark Z. Barabak recalled covering Nancy Pelosi's first race in 1987 and her rise from party insider to national leader.
  • He credits Pelosi's tactical skill and leadership for delivering major legislation like the Affordable Care Act.
INSIGHT

Pragmatism Fueled Pelosi's Effectiveness

  • Pelosi combined ideological commitment with tactical pragmatism, calling her approach a "cold-blooded reptilian nature."
  • That mix made her unusually effective and a persistent target for opponents who resented her success.
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