RJ Bell's Dream Preview CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets
Mar 1, 2025
38:03
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for this weekend. They guys are gearing up for March and give you the biggest game for Saturday. Best bets as always.
🔹 Opening Remarks & Betting Recap (0:14 - 1:39)- Griffin Warner and Big East Ben introduce the episode, reviewing previous best bets.
- Griffin mentions his Oklahoma bet, which survived the spread thanks to Otega Oweh’s dominant second half.
- Ben highlights Oregon State vs. San Francisco, detailing how USF erased a 12-point deficit with a 21-0 run.
- Ben recounts a series of bad beats:
- North Dakota State's top player was unexpectedly out.
- Rhode Island led early but collapsed against Dayton.
- Arkansas vs. Texas hit overtime, busting his under bet.
- Griffin reflects on San Francisco’s unexpected hot shooting, with a 22% shooter making four threes.
- Discussion on whether they should pick a conference tournament sleeper.
- Injury speculation in Big Ten & SEC:
- Lack of transparency makes betting tricky.
- SEC availability reports are still vague.
Game Previews & Betting Analysis
🏀 Kentucky vs. Auburn (-4.5, 166.5 O/U) (6:00 - 10:13)- Key Injury: Jackson Robinson OUT for Kentucky.
- Matchup Analysis:
- Kentucky: Strong three-point shooting team but not as reliant on it as expected.
- Auburn: Best three-point defense in the SEC.
- Bets:
- Ben leans under 166.5 due to Auburn’s slower pace.
- Griffin backs Kentucky (+4.5), citing home-court advantage.
- Key Injury: Darian Williams & Chase McMillan questionable for Texas Tech.
- Matchup Analysis:
- Texas Tech fought hard against Houston, but only played six guys.
- Kansas desperately needs this win, but Griffin labels them a "shitty team."
- Bets:
- Ben takes Under 146, citing strong rebounding and foul control.
- Griffin reluctantly backs Kansas (-4.5), believing Texas Tech’s short rotation will struggle.
- Key Stats:
- Alabama’s defense has been terrible lately (110+ points allowed twice).
- Tennessee's defense is slipping but still elite at home.
- Bets:
- Ben bets Tennessee (-3.5), expecting defensive regression for Alabama.
- Griffin agrees, taking Tennessee, but is wary of a high-scoring game.
- Key Injury: Keyshawn Gilbert expected to return for Iowa State.
- Matchup Analysis:
- Arizona doesn't shoot many threes, which negates Iowa State's weak three-point defense.
- Both teams excel at forcing turnovers.
- Bets:
- Under 151 due to turnover-heavy play and fewer foul shots.
- Key Context:
- San Francisco gave up home-court advantage to play at Chase Center (Golden State Warriors’ arena).
- USF’s interior defense is weak (212th in the country).
- Bets:
- Ben takes Gonzaga (-9), expecting a blowout.
- Griffin reluctantly backs USF (+9), hoping they stay close enough to cover late fouls.
Best Bets & Closing Remarks (29:07 - 34:04)
- Best Bets:
- Ben: William & Mary (-1) vs. Northeastern – Citing weak three-point defense from Northeastern.
- Griffin: South Carolina (-1) vs. Arkansas – Arkansas without Tramon Mark will struggle.
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Key Takeaways
🔹 Betting Trends: Injury uncertainty and defensive regression were major themes.
🔹 Player Analysis: Oklahoma’s Otega Oweh, Kentucky’s Jackson Robinson, and Arizona’s Keyshawn Gilbert were key names in the discussion.
🔹 Game Picks: Unders were a common theme, with Ben and Griffin mostly favoring home teams in close spreads.
🔹 Hot Take: San Francisco sacrificing home-court for a money grab at Chase Center is a terrible decision.
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