Odd Lots

Hyun Song Shin on the New Financial Stability Risks

15 snips
Aug 31, 2023
Hyun Song Shin, economic advisor and head of research at the Bank for International Settlements, shares his insights on today's evolving financial landscape. He discusses the shift from bank lending to bond-based borrowing and its inflation implications. Shin also highlights how even traditionally safe assets, like US Treasuries, can suddenly pose risks, as seen in recent crises. He emphasizes the complexity of central banking in curbing inflation while navigating high interest rates and stresses the need for coordinated policies to maintain financial stability.
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INSIGHT

Shifting Financial Intermediation

  • Financial intermediation has shifted from banks to non-bank players like hedge funds and asset managers.
  • This includes new infrastructures like central counterparties (CCPs) and exchanges.
INSIGHT

Impact of Rising Rates

  • Low interest rates and central bank asset purchases led to increased borrowing and longer debt duration.
  • As interest rates rise, the impact on asset prices is larger due to this extended duration.
ANECDOTE

Mortgage Refinancing Benefits

  • Homeowners who refinanced mortgages benefited from longer durations, reducing rollover risk.
  • This lengthening of liabilities is generally positive but introduces duration risk.
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