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Odd Lots

Hyun Song Shin on the New Financial Stability Risks

Aug 31, 2023
41:19
Snipd AI
In this podcast, Hyun Song Shin discusses the shift from bank lending to bond-based borrowing and the risks lurking in the financial system. Topics include the potential stress events associated with leverage in the bond market, the role of emerging market central banks as buyers of their own government bond markets, and potential solutions to financial stability risks. The podcast also explores the integration of fiscal and monetary policies for financial stability and the challenges of navigating a global financial system centered on bonds.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The shift from bank lending to bond-based borrowing has introduced new risks in the financial system, challenging the traditional expectation of stable yields for bonds.
  • The changing landscape of financial intermediaries, with non-bank players gaining importance, and the role of infrastructure like central counterparties and exchanges, are key factors shaping the evolving financial system.

Deep dives

Living with high levels of public debt and high inflation

One theme that has emerged from the discussions at the Jackson Hole event is the challenge of living with high levels of public debt and high inflation while having a global financial system built on bonds. This goes against the traditional expectation that bonds should have stable yields. There has been volatility in yields over the last year, and even in the last month, with spikes in mortgage rates and 30-year yields. The podcast hosts also highlight the serendipity of meeting guests on a hiking trail at Jackson Hole.

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