On The Market

Fed Cuts Rates, Mortgage Applications Jump 30% Overnight

26 snips
Sep 23, 2025
A recent Fed rate cut has sent mortgage applications soaring by 30%, with 30-year rates dipping near 6.39%. The team discusses the benefits of refinancing now versus waiting, along with insights on adjustable-rate mortgages. They also tackle the realities of the purported $100 trillion wealth transfer and the risks of relying on inheritances. Plus, they explore strategies for navigating cooling land prices, including infill lot splits and seller financing to enhance equity and cash flow.
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INSIGHT

Refi Rush After Rate Drop

  • Mortgage applications surged ~30% after 30-year rates fell to ~6.39%, driven mostly by refinances.
  • Many owners who bought at 8–9% are chasing a tangible rate drop now rather than waiting for future cuts.
ADVICE

Lock A Refi If It Improves Cash Flow

  • Do consider refinancing now rather than waiting for hypothetical lower rates.
  • Lock improved cash flow when you can, because mortgage rates can move unpredictably despite Fed signals.
INSIGHT

How Today's ARMs Work

  • Modern ARMs provide an initial fixed period (e.g., 3–5 years) before adjustments, making them less risky than pre-2008 ARMs.
  • Borrowers can refinance again after the fixed period or ride the ARM if it still pencils.
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