EdgeCast Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class V Part I [9.22.15]
Sep 22, 2015
Philip Tetlock, a political and social scientist, discusses the influence of scenarios on judgments of probability, forecasting errors and the importance of self-reflection, self-improvement in super forecasting, creating forecasting communities and the impact of public engagement, as well as challenges and strategies in creating a prize for climate change.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5
Introduction
00:00 • 5min
Forecasting Errors and the Importance of Self-Reflection
04:38 • 2min
The Importance of Self-Improvement in Super Forecasting
07:08 • 10min
Creating Forecasting Communities and the Impact of Public Engagement
16:51 • 3min
Creating a Prize for Climate Change: Challenges and Strategies
19:26 • 5min