Ian Bremmer, a prominent political scientist and founder of the Eurasia Group, joins for a deep dive into today’s geopolitical climate. They discuss the recent failures of globalism and the troubling return to power-centric politics reminiscent of a 'law of the jungle.' Bremmer also shares his thoughts on Trump’s audacious ideas to acquire Greenland and the Panama Canal. The conversation shifts to the dynamics within the Republican Party and what it means for future elections, alongside pressing legal matters involving Rudy Giuliani and Hunter Biden.
Ian Bremmer emphasizes the shifting geopolitical landscape towards a GZERO world, where individual nation-states prioritize self-interest over collective global governance.
The podcast highlights Donald Trump's presidency as a transformative force in U.S. foreign policy, prioritizing power dynamics and aggressive stances rather than traditional diplomacy.
Bremmer discusses the ideological divide within the Republican Party, illustrating the clashing perspectives of Trump loyalists versus traditional conservatives shaping its future direction.
Deep dives
Global Risks for 2025
The episode reveals the top global risks for 2025 as outlined in Ian Bremmer's annual risk report. Key issues include the changing landscape of global politics, highlighted by the decline of globalization and a shift towards a GZERO world where power dynamics favor individual nation-states over collective decision-making. Bremmer emphasizes that the United States may experience less formal leadership internationally, leading to potential conflicts as countries revert to more self-serving, transactional relations. The absence of strong alliances and the potential for chaos indicate a precarious geopolitical climate, suggesting nations must navigate a law-of-the-jungle environment.
Trump's Impact on U.S. Foreign Policy
The discussion shifts to how Donald Trump's presidency has altered U.S. foreign policy, particularly through his emphasis on power over values. Trump is portrayed as willing to leverage American power without regard for traditional diplomatic norms, which some believe may lead to aggressive stances, including the unrealistic notions of reclaiming territories such as Greenland or the Panama Canal. Bremmer suggests that Trump's potential return may further consolidate his power within the Republican Party and impact U.S. stances on international calls for accountability on issues like human rights. This radically different approach contrasts sharply with that of previous presidents, marking a significant ideological shift.
Economic Policies and Challenges
Bremmer addresses the economic implications under Trump's policies, particularly how Trumponomics could lead to heightened tariffs and increased inflation. The proposed substantial tariffs on imports from countries like China are analyzed, with concerns raised about their potential to disrupt global trade and economic stability. There's a notable divergence of opinion, with some economists supporting these moves as necessary for protecting American manufacturing interests while acknowledging the short-term economic risks involved. The episode underscores the complexity of navigating Trump's economic agenda, which may benefit certain sectors while causing strain in others.
The Legacy of Jimmy Carter
The conversation touches on Jimmy Carter's legacy, particularly his focus on human rights and moral integrity, contrasted with the more power-centric ethos of contemporary politics. Carter is remembered for his genuine commitment to addressing human rights issues globally, raising the standard for American diplomacy at a time when such values were paramount to U.S. foreign policy. Bremmer notes that despite the difficulties of Carter's presidency, his post-presidency humanitarian work has shaped his legacy positively over time. This serves as a backdrop to discuss how future assessments of modern presidents, like Trump, will be influenced by their values and actions in office.
Internal Party Dynamics and Future of Governance
The episode explores the ideological rifts within the Republican Party and how Trump's influence has shaped the party’s identity. With the recent elections in mind, there's a significant focus on how Trump's loyalists and those who supported a more traditional Republican approach have clashed, leading to a changing political landscape. Bremmer speculates on the challenges that the GOP may face in unifying under Trump's leadership, given the varying perspectives on governance and policy. This shifting dynamic raises questions about the future direction of the party and its ability to adapt to the evolving demands of its constituents.
What are the biggest risks of the year? Political scientist Ian Bremmer joins Preet to discuss the failures of globalism, Trump’s consolidation of power, and the return to the law of the jungle. Plus, what to make of Trump’s grand ideas to acquire Greenland and the Panama Canal.
Then, Preet answers questions about Judge Cannon, a potential Rudy Giuliani pardon, and special counsel David Weiss’s final report on Hunter Biden.
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