Daniel Davis Deep Dive Next UKRAINE OFFENSIVE On the Way? /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Ian Proud
Oct 17, 2025
Ian Proud, a former British diplomat with extensive experience in Moscow and European affairs, delivers insights on the complexities of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. He discusses the implications of Trump potentially consulting Putin about Tomahawk missiles and forecasts Moscow's strong reactions. The conversation explores Ukraine’s capability for a new offensive, the stalled progress since 2023, and the impact on European political dynamics. Proud also analyzes Russia's societal dynamics and Putin's strategic preferences, emphasizing the gap between political rhetoric and ground realities.
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Tomahawks Drive High-Stakes Diplomacy
- Tomahawk cruise missiles are the central topic of Trump-Putin talks and could trigger Russian escalation.
- Ian Proud predicts Trump will likely decline to supply Tomahawks after consulting Putin.
Offensive Lacks Military Foundation
- Ukraine lacks troop density and logistics for a large conventional offensive now.
- Ukraine seeks long-range missiles to escalate and potentially draw NATO deeper into the conflict.
Russia Playing The Long Attrition Game
- Russia pursues a slow grind to win by attrition and time rather than rapid conquest.
- Putin bets Europe will run out of money first, weakening Western support for Ukraine.
