Behind the Balance Sheet

#13 The Contrarian - Richard Oldfield on Cycles, the Madness of Index Trackers & Mastering Emotions

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Aug 18, 2022
Richard Oldfield shares stories from a long career in value investing, from market manias and index funds to memorable investment mistakes. The conversation explores contrarian thinking, company visits, charismatic executives, and the emotional discipline behind investing. It even includes an investment poem and a song.
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ANECDOTE

Early Contrarian Investment

  • Richard Oldfield invested early at 17 in a low-priced company tainted by association but fundamentally sound.
  • He was drawn to cheap valuations, even without full knowledge, betting the risk was favorable.
INSIGHT

Investment Simplicity Yet Difficulty

  • The rudiments of investing are simple, but outperformance is very difficult due to market and fees.
  • Unlike most professions, over half of investment managers underperform long-term market averages.
INSIGHT

Critique of Index Funds

  • Index funds heavily rely on market capitalization rules that create perverse incentives for inclusion.
  • Investing passively means "hanging on to the coat tails of a lunatic," not true common-sense investing.
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