John Davi, CEO of Astoria Portfolio Advisors, shares his expertise in ETF strategies and portfolio management. He discusses the impressive run of US large-cap stocks and questions how long it can last. Davi highlights his top picks for 2025, including small caps, commodities, and mortgage-backed bonds. The conversation delves into IPO-focused ETFs, the risks of tech investments, and innovative strategies to navigate changing markets. He emphasizes the importance of balancing growth with risk in portfolio construction.
Small-cap stocks are positioned as a compelling investment choice for 2025 due to their potential for substantial earnings growth and safety compared to large-caps.
Exploring alternative investment strategies like mortgage-backed securities can enhance portfolio diversification and mitigate risk amid potential equity market overvaluation.
Deep dives
Introduction to ETF Strategists
ETF strategists are depicted as experts who craft investment portfolios utilizing exchange-traded funds (ETFs). They are likened to knowledgeable employees in video rental stores who recommend lesser-known films, emphasizing their ability to identify unique and actionable investment ideas that go beyond mainstream options. In the discussion, the analogy illustrates the strategist's depth of knowledge and their analytical approach to building a portfolio, balancing both macroeconomic themes and specific ETF characteristics. This role is crucial for investors looking to navigate the complexities of the investment landscape effectively.
Predictions for Small Caps
Small-cap stocks are highlighted as a potentially significant investment opportunity for 2025, especially in light of current market conditions. The argument suggests that these stocks offer a margin of safety compared to large-cap stocks, which have become increasingly expensive. Evidence is presented with small-cap ETFs that are believed to outperform traditional indices, indicating a favorable environment for these companies amidst a positive economic backdrop. The discussion also notes that small caps have shown a capacity for substantial earnings growth, contrasting them with major tech stocks, which may face valuation challenges.
Focus on IPOs and Unique ETFs
The First Trust U.S. Equity Opportunities ETF is underscored as an intriguing investment vehicle focused on IPOs and spinoffs, designed to uncover high-growth potential in lesser-known stocks. The ETF's robust recent performance, outpacing the broader market, illustrates its appeal as a unique offering in an otherwise crowded investment environment. This strategy aims to capitalize on early-stage companies that are newly public, thereby capturing significant upside before these stocks are included in larger indices. The potential for increased IPO activity in the next few years is also noted, suggesting a favorable environment for this ETF's future performance.
Broadening Investment Horizons with Alternatives
The podcast discusses the importance of exploring alternative investment strategies, particularly in a context where traditional equities might be overvalued. Specific strategies like merger arbitrage and mortgage-backed securities are recommended for diversifying investment portfolios and mitigating risk. These alternatives offer unique risk-return profiles and attract interest from institutional investors looking for stability amidst market volatility. This shift towards alternative strategies illustrates a broader trend for investors seeking to enhance returns while remaining cautious about market conditions moving into 2025.
US large cap stocks have had an unbelievable run, and this year has been no exception. But how much longer can this Magnificent 7-driven winning streak really last? What kind of moves should investors consider making? And which products should they use? ETF strategists ponder questions just like this, and they're experts at figuring out how to meet the moment — or realize an idea — with the right product.
On this episode of Trillions, Joel and Eric speak with John Davi, CEO of Astoria Portfolio Advisors, about his Top 10 — or maybe it's 14? — ETFs that he likes in 2025. These ETFs include small caps, commodities, mortgage-backed bonds, IPOs and financial stocks. They also discuss his overall view of the market as well as the ETF industry.