The Startup Podcast

Insiders React: Reviewing Our Tech Predictions From January 2025

Nov 13, 2025
Chris and Yaniv reflect on their bold tech predictions for 2025, revealing surprising successes and hilarious misfires. They debate whether functional AGI truly emerged and assess Google's resurgence as a formidable AI player. The duo breaks down the contrasting fortunes of the venture capital market, with AI startups thriving while others flounder. They also analyze Bitcoin's stability above $100K and how U.S. tech dominance evolved amid geopolitical tensions.
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INSIGHT

AGI Is More Academic Than Actionable

  • The AGI debate has become largely academic as models get very capable in narrow contexts but remain flawed.
  • Yaniv and Chris agree capability creep hasn't produced economy-wide AGI impact in 2025.
INSIGHT

LLMs Are Smart But Still Fragile

  • Model improvements in 2025 felt incremental rather than exponential according to Chris Saad.
  • He lists missing capabilities: context, intuition, precision, and true insight as limits of current LLMs.
INSIGHT

Antitrust Enforcement Shifted Toward Growth

  • The hosts argue antitrust enforcement eased and companies pursued aggressive bundling and growth.
  • They view recent rulings and corporate behavior as a clear vibe shift toward permissive regulation.
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