Making Sense

2026 outlook: What’s next for markets and the global economy?

Dec 18, 2025
Join Bruce Kasman, Chief Global Economist at J.P. Morgan, Mislav Matejka, Head of Global Equity Strategy, and other experts as they dissect the 2026 market outlook. They discuss the impact of uneven monetary policy and the AI cycle on economies. Kasman highlights sticky inflation trends, while Matejka predicts significant equity gains driven by AI. Stephen Dulake addresses credit market dynamics amidst technological shifts, and Natasha Kaneva shares insights on bearish oil forecasts and bullish gold predictions.
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INSIGHT

Resilient Growth, Sticky Local Inflation

  • The global economy showed surprising resilience in 2025 despite tariffs and geopolitical shocks.
  • Bruce Kasman expects recoupling of labor markets and sticky but locally driven inflation in 2026.
INSIGHT

AI Capex Fuels Broadening Earnings

  • AI-driven capex is powering earnings and will continue to support US large-cap growth in 2026.
  • Mislav Matejka expects AI to broaden into thousands more companies, lifting productivity and margins.
ADVICE

Prefer Large Caps For AI Exposure

  • Stay overweight US large caps and growth as AI adoption accelerates and drives earnings.
  • Favor large-cap, growth-oriented exposure over small caps to capture the AI winners.
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