The Threat of Russian Military Capabilities

Russia's military capabilities, particularly its anti-access and area denial (A2AD) systems, pose a significant challenge to NATO's conventional deterrence posture. These capabilities, which include advanced surface missiles and electronic warfare technology, are strategically positioned in areas like Kaliningrad and the Black Sea, enabling Russia to deny NATO access and air superiority in critical regions. This scenario raises concerns about NATO’s ability to rapidly reinforce its troops in the Baltics, especially since Russia has demonstrated the capability to mobilize large forces quickly during military exercises. The essence of the threat is not just military occupation, but a broader strategy to assert Russian power and influence across Europe, instilling fear in neighboring countries about potential aggression.