Beyond the To-Do List - Productivity for Work and Life Annie Duke on Making Better Decisions by Identifying and Dismantling Hidden Biases
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Feb 2, 2021 
Annie Duke, decision strategist and poker champion, discusses overcoming biases, hidden biases, and making better choices. She explores tools for improving decision-making, understanding biases, and separating outcomes from decision quality. Annie emphasizes the significance of developing mental muscle memory, optimizing decision-making processes, and utilizing decision-making tools for better outcomes.
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Pete Carroll's Pass Play
- In 2015, Pete Carroll called a pass play that was intercepted, costing the Seahawks the Super Bowl.
- Despite the bad outcome, analysis suggests the play call was statistically sound, highlighting the role of luck.
Resulting vs. Self-Serving Bias
- People judge others' decisions based on outcomes (resulting), neglecting luck.
- Conversely, they judge their own decisions based on self-serving bias, claiming credit for good outcomes and blaming bad ones on luck.
Uncertainty and Bias
- Uncertainty fuels cognitive biases like confirmation bias and overconfidence.
- Chess, with less uncertainty, offers fewer opportunities for biased explanations compared to poker or car accidents.